Sunday, February 19, 2012

General Dempsey is completely logical in his assessment.

American Scofflaw

Unfortunately, however, there are those in the bowels of power in DC and Tel Aviv who have a very different agenda other than that driven by logic.

For the Israeli leadership, such an attack needs to happen soon to prevent the perception in the US that Israel is playing election politics with the timing of such an attack (an "October Surprise" of this nature will not be well received here, so close to the US election cycle.)

And for those in the bowels of power in DC, such an attack needs to come before Greece defaults (which will most likely happen next month), bringing down the Euro and the American banking system with it, in order to have something to blame for the lousy state of the US economy after these events happen, rather than catastrophically bad decision-making emanating from Washington.

But I would strongly caution the leadership in both Tel Aviv and Washington to be very careful what they wish for.

Both Chinese and Russian leadership have made very public statements indicating that any attack against Iran will be met with China and Russia's military aid to Iran.

So what we have here is the potential for a thermonuclear, global war over an alleged Iranian weapons program which cannot be proven, to date, to exist.

I would like to hope that both Israeli and US leadership clearly understand the potential for horrendous unintended consequences should such an attack against Iran happen, no matter which country starts it.

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